Future trends in carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and Energy Consumption in Papua New Guinea: Application of Asia-Pacific Integrated Model (AIM)/Trend Model. June 22, 2007
Posted by rodney itaki in Engineering, Information communication technology, Physical sciences.4 comments
Varigini Badira.
Applied Physics, University of Technology, Private Mail Bag, Morobe Province 411, Papua New Guinea.,
vbadira@yahoo.com
Abstract
This paper presents the future trends in emission of carbon dioxide (CO
2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and energy consumption in Papua New Guinea by employing AIM/Trend model. The AIM/Trend is a energy related Green House Gas (GHG) emission predictor driven by past time series data of annual population, GDP, yearly NOx emission, yearly SO2 emission, and annual energy consumptions. For both NO2 and SO2, past time series data from 1990 to 2003 shows emission level increase of 55% and 38% respectively. 1995 to 2005 CO2 emission shows a jump by a massive 72%. From 2003 to 2030 both NOx and SO2 are projected to increase by 33%. Although the emissions from 1990 to 2003 are below the global average, it is a cause of concern due to the nature of increase within a space of 15 years. The model also shows that Oil energy consumption by 2030 is predicted to increase four folds relative to the 1985 levels. The total primary energy supply is conservatively project to grow from 0.8Mtoe to 1.8Mtoe whilst demand from 1.4Mtoe in 2002 to 3.7 Mtoe. The increase in the supply reflects a corresponding increase in GHG emission by 3 times relative to the 2000 level. At the current trends, the AIM/trend model suggests air pollution in PNG 40 years time is controllable. However, in terms of sustainability development of resources, energy intensity indicates needed concerted effort. For greater developmental sustainability, clean energy technology in industrial energy usage is recommended.
Key words:
carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO2), energy consumption, future trends.
IT and the Web: What is the immediate future for Papua New Guinea? May 8, 2007
Posted by rodney itaki in Information communication technology.5 comments
Ian Hanspeter, Department of Computer Science, PNG University of Technology Papua New GuineaIan.hanspeter@postgrad.curtin.edu
Abstract
Currently Papua New Guinea (PNG) is in a transitional phase in IT age. We may say that we are up there with the rest, but the true determining factor which determines how well developed a nation is with respect to information technology, is up-time and cost of ownership per capita.
Currently those two factors are not in our way at the moment. Monopoly of the communication industry has placed a strenuous bottle-neck on the over-all growth of information technology and its related technologies.
In this paper, it is pointed out the need for a proper Information Technology (IT)) policy as well as the need to empower proper regulatory bodies to ensure that technology serves its primary purpose without any violation of any fundamental morals that the country holds dear.
Keywords
ICT, Web, ITU, Information, Technology, ISP